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Dan Johnson (economist)
Daniel Kent Neil Johnson (born c. 1969) is a Canadian American microeconomist and entrepreneur. He is currently associate professor and chair of the economics department at Colorado College. His most notable research has been in predicting Olympic medals.〔http://www.forbes.com/2010/01/19/olympic-medal-predictions-business-sports-medals.html〕
== Research ==
Johnson's Olympic Medals Model uses five variables: country's per-capita income, population, political structure, climate, and host-nation advantage.〔http://www.slate.com/articles/business/moneybox/2010/03/americas_joy_austrias_sorrow.html〕 The model does not take into account athletic abilities of any star Olympians.〔http://www.coloradocollege.edu/newsevents/newsroom/dan-johnson-the-man-who-predicts-medals〕 It has demonstrated 94% accuracy for predicting national medal counts and 87% accuracy for gold medal counts.〔http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10000872396390444184704577585541737428800.html〕 Since 2000, Johnson's model has become increasingly more accurate at predicting the number of gold medals a country will win, while becoming marginally less accurate at predicting the total number of medals.〔http://www.economist.com/node/21559674〕
Johnson's other work is in microeconomic analysis, with emphasis on business development. He has worked in the areas of commodity analysis, technology growth, and innovation, among others.
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